Saturday, May 2, 2020

TRUTH VS FICTION - What Does The Data Say?

Tennessee has decided to test the entire prison population for Covid-19 after a significant number of cases were discovered at the Trousdale Turner Correctional Center.

A few days ago it was announced that all inmates at Trousdale Turner would be tested for COVID-19 [1].

Trousdale Turner has a maximum capacity of 2,552 inmates [2]. 2,246 inmates have been tested with 1,037 returning positive, 762 negative, and with 446 still pending [3]. Including staff, 2,450 tests have been given in total with a reported 1,246 testing positive to COVID-19 [4].

Only 2 inmates at Trousdale Turner have shown any symptoms [5] which is a trend being shown nationwide according to CoreCivic's public affairs office as reported by the Tennessean [6].

The significance of this development is that with a prison population being a captive population then it ought be possible to gain a more accurate picture pertaining to the actual fatality rate of the virus in regards to the general population.

Up to this stage the number of infections have been unknown thus making it impossible to accurately estimate the true mortality rate.

In early March when lock-downs first began to be initiated the World Health Organisation claimed...

<<<"Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.>>> [7]

...whereupon...

<<<we don’t even talk about containment for seasonal flu – it’s just not possible. But it is possible for COVID-19. We don’t do contact tracing for seasonal flu – but countries should do it for COVID-19, because it will prevent infections and save lives. Containment is possible.>>> [8]

...being that...

<<<it causes more severe illness than flu, there are not yet any vaccines or therapeutics, and it can be contained – which is why we must do everything we can to contain it.>>> [9]

It was according to this data that nations decided it was more prudent to sacrifice their economies and many people's livelihoods at the altar of "saving lives" due to a reported 3.4% fatality rate and the perceived overburdening of medical resources by an influx of patients.

Now align that with the fact that, across the United States, "more than 70% of federal inmates have tested positive for the virus" [10], and yet prison medical facilities have not seen any significant increase in use. Surely the fatality rate has been over-estimated by a massive degree. This would also explain why a significant amount of grocery store workers are not ending up in hospital.

So why the continuing authoritarian lockdowns throughout the world? If elected officials are being driven by the data, as they claim, then why is the data not matching the narrative being disseminated?

Is it possible that authoritarian types do not desire to admit to having made very wrong and destructive decisions and thus deny culpability of the resulting wreckage they have wrought on society?

Is it possible that authoritarian types desire to keep a "threat" in the forefront of people's minds as a means to cling to a fallacy that what they have done and are continuing to do is right?

The narrative has certainly now changed from "flatten the curve" to "stopping the spread" which is thus deemed as the justification for the ongoing exercise of authoritarian coercion on populations.

This one size fits all solution for the entire world has been absurd which is why the hospitals where I live, in Nashville, Tennessee, are basically empty, they are well below census according to both nurses and doctors that I speak to. This due to being prioritised towards the expected influx of COVID-19 patients which never happened. Yet the "safer-at-home" continues here in Nashville?

All this ought serve us as a pertinent lesson as to why government power ought be limited and why the fundamental principle of the Rule of Law found in constitutions and bills of rights ought NEVER be ignored.

I'll finish with a quote taken from "The Vision of the Anointed" by Thomas Sowell. Get that book, read it and reflect upon it.

"It is so easy to be wrong-and to persist in being wrong-when the costs of being wrong are paid by others." Thomas Sowell, The Vision of the Anointed: Self-congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy (ed. Basic Books, 1995)



[1] https://www.wsmv.com/news/trousdale_county/inmates-at-trousdale-turner-prison-to-be-tested-for-covid-19/article_74df38a8-8973-11ea-85b6-e781aeceef33.html

[2] https://statesofincarceration.org/story/trousdale-county-home-new-private-prison-built-foot-nuclear-reactor

[3] https://www.tn.gov/content/dam/tn/correction/documents/TDOCInmatesCOVID19.pdf

[4] https://www.wsmv.com/news/over-1-200-staff-inmates-test-positive-for-covid-19-at-trousdale-turner-correctional-center/article_568c03d2-8bde-11ea-a447-4b7eaabeb67b.html

[5] https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2020/05/01/tennessee-testing-all-inmates-prison-staff-after-multiple-outbreaks/3067388001/

[6] Ibid

[7] https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020

[8] Ibid

[9] Ibid

[10] https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2020/05/01/tennessee-testing-all-inmates-prison-staff-after-multiple-outbreaks/3067388001/

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